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Firstsource Solutions Ltd

| Q2FY26 EARNINGS CONFERENCE CALL

NEUTRAL SENTIMENT

Report Source

4th Nov 25

Summary : Firstsource Solutions delivered consistent revenue and margin growth in Q2FY26, driven by strategic deal wins and AI investments, while navigating macroeconomic uncertainties and aiming for accelerated H2 growth.

Management Perspective positive : Q2 is the sixth straight quarter of double-digit year-on-year revenue growth, and the seventh consecutive quarter of sequential revenue growth for us, despite the continued macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties. Our deal pipeline crossed a billion dollars for the first time in the history of the company. Our continued progress gives me confidence that we are on the right trajectory to deliver sustainable, profitable, and industry-leading growth.

Concall Report Analysis & Insights

Business Overview

  1. Q2FY26 revenue grew 20.1% YoY to Rs. 23.1 billion (US$265 million), marking the sixth straight quarter of double-digit YoY growth.
  2. EBIT margin expanded to 11.5%, up 70 basis points YoY and 20 basis points QoQ, the fourth consecutive quarter of margin expansion.
  3. Net profit was Rs. 1.8 billion, with diluted EPS at Rs. 2.54.
  4. Signed four large deals and added 10 new logos in Q2; deal pipeline crossed $1 billion for the first time.
  5. H1FY26 revenue grew 16.4% in constant currency, EBIT grew 27.4%, and PAT grew 27.6% in rupee terms.

Future Growth Prospects

  1. Expect an accelerating growth trajectory in H2FY26, with FY26 constant currency revenue growth projected at 13-15%.
  2. Targeting 50-75 basis points margin expansion annually, aiming for 11.25-12% EBIT margin in FY26.
  3. Strategic investments in AI companies (AppliedAI, Lyzr) to drive technology arbitrage and process reengineering.
  4. Expanding geographical footprint with new operations in Dubai and strategic partnerships in Australia.
  5. Broadening client base and curating new growth engines, reducing reliance on top clients.

Management Insights

  1. Q2 performance was in line with expectations, driven by strong deal wins and strategic client expansion.
  2. Focus is shifting from traditional labor arbitrage to technology arbitrage, leveraging AI for efficiency and outcomes.
  3. The UnBPO™ playbook is transforming workflows, delivering faster approvals and superior customer experience.
  4. Margin improvements are due to right-shoring talent, optimizing delivery, and AI interventions, despite wage hikes.
  5. Confident in achieving industry-leading growth and margin expansion through strategic initiatives and market share gains.

Signs of Skepticism

  1. QoQ client bucket movement can be misleading due to currency or business shifts.
  2. Margin guidance was not narrowed despite strong H1 performance, suggesting potential H2 headwinds.
  3. Impairment of intangible assets from Ascensos acquisition due to unmet revenue estimations.
  4. Regulatory delays for the Pastdue Credit acquisition mean no financial contribution yet.
  5. Quantitative details on UnBPO™ adoption and specific client impact are not provided.

Risk Factors

  1. Continued macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties persist.
  2. Sluggish demand environment and higher labor costs in the UK market.
  3. Pace of recovery in the European market remains gradual due to longer decision-making cycles.
  4. Mortgage market remains in a 'wait-and-watch' mode due to high interest rates.
  5. Regulatory approval for Pastdue Credit Solutions acquisition is still pending.

Good To Know

  1. Headcount increased by 1,500 associates, highest in six quarters, preparing for H2 growth.
  2. Trailing 12-month attrition rate declined to 28%, a 12 percentage point drop over eight quarters.
  3. Recognized as 'India's Best Workplaces for Women' and received the 'Golden Peacock Award' for ESG 2025.
  4. Made a strategic minority investment in AppliedAI, an AI company, during Q2.
  5. Proposed acquisition of Pastdue Credit Solutions in the UK is awaiting FCA approval.

Key Drivers

  1. Accelerated H2FY26 growth expected.
  2. UnBPO™ model drives transformation.
  3. New market expansion in Middle East.
  4. AI-driven solutions enhance offerings.

Key Analyst Discussions

Competitive Environment

  1. Pure-play BPO companies are growing faster than integrated IT plus BPO players.
  2. Competitive moat is built on domain depth, contextualized technology, ability to underwrite outcomes, and agility.
  3. Expanding share of wallet with existing clients and taking share from incumbents.

Market Trends & Consumer Behavior

  1. UK market clients are accelerating moves to offshore/nearshore due to muted growth and higher labor costs.
  2. Healthcare regulatory changes are expected to increase administrative costs, shifting to higher complexity workflows.
  3. Mortgage market recovery is slow, with high interest rates deterring refinancing and new home purchases.
  4. Clients are embracing technology arbitrage and non-linear commercial constructs.

Financial Highlights

  1. Margin expansion in Q2 was attributed to operational efficiencies offsetting salary hikes and forex movements.
  2. Depreciation increased due to moving into a larger, standalone building in Mumbai.
  3. Net debt reduced to Rs. 10.8 billion as of September 30, 2025.
  4. Cash conversion remained healthy with OCF to EBITDA at 82% and FCF to PAT at 155% in H1.

Product Composition

  1. Banking and financial services grew 4% QoQ and 11% YoY in constant currency.
  2. Healthcare grew 3% QoQ and 6% YoY, with strong traction in the payer business.
  3. Communications, media, and technology grew 15% YoY but declined 1% QoQ due to project transitions.
  4. Diverse portfolio was flat QoQ, reflecting sluggish UK demand in utilities and retail.

Strategic Considerations

  1. UnBPO™ approach aims for non-linear commercial constructs and improved revenue per headcount.
  2. Growth drivers include expanding share of wallet in existing accounts, adding strategic logos, and new market entry.
  3. Acquisition of Ascensos provides capability to extend retail and utilities services to new geographies.
  4. New service offerings, especially in tech vertical, create additional growth vectors.