| Q2 & H1 FY26 Earnings Conference Call
Summary : NBCC reported strong Q2/H1 FY26 results with significant order book growth and positive future outlook, despite some project execution delays.
Management Perspective positive : "really, I can say it is a fantastic result of NBCC.""We are expecting INR800 crores to INR900 crores during this year. That will be our profit.""This is minimum 20% growth. However, when we start out another Redevelopment project like MAHAPREIT & J&K, we will achieve more.""We are pride to say that we are Navratna construction company.""We expect this trend to further strengthen overall performance in the second half (H2)."
Concall Report Analysis & Insights
Business Overview
- Q2 standalone total income was INR 2,225 crores, consolidated INR 3,017 crores, up 20% year-on-year.
- Standalone PAT grew 40% year-on-year to INR 173 crores; consolidated PAT grew 25% to INR 157 crores.
- Standalone order book stands at INR 1,12,000 crores, consolidated at INR 1,28,000 crores.
- Secured INR 6,800 crores in Q2, totaling INR 10,000 crores in H1 FY26, including RIICO and Naveen Nagpur projects.
- Amrapali Project Phase 1 is 93% complete, with 23 out of 24 projects and 30,000 units finished.
Future Growth Prospects
- Expect to award INR 10,000-12,000 crores of new works in the next half of FY26.
- Targeting 20% revenue growth for FY26-27, with PAT margins of 7-8% and EBITDA margins of 6-6.5%.
- Significant pipeline includes redevelopment of other Delhi government colonies and various PSU lands.
- Strategic MOUs with Australian and UAE real estate developers to expand global footprint.
- Ghitorni land project expected to start construction by year-end or Q1 next year, generating INR 7,000-8,000 crores revenue.
Management Insights
- We are confident in achieving INR 14,000-15,000 crores revenue for the full year FY26.
- The 20% growth target is a minimum; we expect to exceed it with new redevelopment projects.
- We have shifted strategy for some real estate projects from selling to leasing for recurring revenue.
- The Amrapali project completion and successful handover is a point of pride for the company.
- Q4 is traditionally the strongest quarter for the civil industry, expecting strong performance.
Signs of Skepticism
- Slow execution of the large order book, with only INR 34,000 crores currently running.
- Significant portion of the order book (INR 25,000 crores from MAHAPREIT) relies on client-arranged funding.
- Delays in state government project approvals (J&K) for redevelopment models.
- Shift in real estate strategy from selling to leasing for some projects, potentially impacting immediate sales revenue.
Risk Factors
- Project approvals for redevelopment models (J&K, MAHAPREIT) are causing delays in execution.
- Reliance on client funding for self-sustainable redevelopment projects impacts project commencement.
- EBITDA margin slightly reduced in Q2 due to lower real estate contribution and Amrapali marketing fees.
- Real estate sales were lower in Q2, impacting marketing fee income for the quarter.
Good To Know
- NBCC acts as a Project Management Consultant (PMC) for redevelopment projects, not taking direct loans.
- HUDCO has sanctioned INR 11,000 crores for Naveen Nagpur and INR 3,000 crores for MAHAPREIT.
- Real estate revenue for H1 FY26 was INR 26 crores, with a full-year target of INR 64-65 crores.
- Seed money in books is INR 481 crores, primarily for Amrapali (INR 465 crores) and DTC (INR 16.5 crores).
- Super-tech project status awaits Supreme Court decision, with a hearing scheduled for December 8.
Key Drivers
- Large order book ensures future revenue.
- New project awards will boost topline.
- Amrapali project completion drives sales.
- Ghitorni land resolution unlocks value.
Key Analyst Discussions
Financial Highlights
- Management expects INR 800-900 crores profit for the current financial year.
- Running projects total INR 34,000 crores, expected to be completed within 2-3 years.
- EBITDA margin for H1 increased year-on-year, but Q2 saw a slight reduction.
- Targeting 20% revenue growth and 7-8% PAT margin for FY27.
- FY28 revenue target is INR 25,000 crores with PAT of INR 2,000 crores.
Product Composition
- Order book split: 47% PMC and 53% redevelopment on a consolidated level.
- Real estate strategy shifting towards leasing for projects like Bhubaneswar and Ghitorni.
- Commercial projects, like one in Delhi worth INR 9,000 crores, will be auctioned soon.
Strategic Considerations
- Discussions ongoing for redevelopment of other Delhi government colonies and various PSU lands.
- New projects in pipeline include HPCL (Bangalore), HMT (Bangalore), MTNL/BSNL (Delhi).
- Considering a rental model for Ghitorni commercial spaces instead of outright selling.
- No plans to set up an NBFC as funding is available from HUDCO.