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Neetu Yoshi Ltd

| Q4 FY26 Earnings Conference Call

BULLISH SENTIMENT

Report Source

9th Jun 26

Summary : Neetu Yoshi Limited delivered strong H2 FY26 results, driven by railway sector growth and strategic expansion into new product lines and markets, maintaining a positive outlook.

Management Perspective positive : Himanshu Lohia stated, 'We are very positive of the market as well and we are positive about the work we are doing as well.' He also mentioned, 'Yes, we are very confident of that' regarding achieving targets.

Concall Report Analysis & Insights

Business Overview

  1. Neetu Yoshi Limited reported H2 FY26 total income of INR101 crores, up 44% year-over-year.
  2. Profit After Tax (PAT) for H2 FY26 was INR25 crores, a 53% increase from last year.
  3. The company maintains positive cash flow.
  4. Core business involves manufacturing components for the railway industry.

Future Growth Prospects

  1. New bogie manufacturing facility will be operational in June, with first invoices raised this month.
  2. 15-20 new products are in the RDSO approval pipeline, with more than 15 products in development.
  3. Targeting INR210-220 crores revenue for the current financial year with 25% PAT margins.
  4. Peak revenue potential from existing plants is INR340-350 crores by next financial year.
  5. Expanding product lines to track, locomotive, coach, mining, and thermal plant sectors.
  6. Planning complete wagon manufacturing in three years, expecting significant revenue growth.
  7. Aiming to start exports to markets like the US or UK by next financial year.

Management Insights

  1. Management is 'very positive' about market conditions and current work.
  2. They are 'very confident' of achieving their revenue and PAT targets.
  3. Focus remains on developing new product lines with good margins to counter deteriorating margins in older products.
  4. The company aims to reduce costs across all aspects, including interest, power, and raw materials.
  5. They are continuously expanding where scope is identified, including two other expansions for the bogie plant.

Signs of Skepticism

  1. An analyst questioned the need for shareholder dilution for working capital, suggesting debt as an alternative.
  2. Management's claim of 'no slowdown' in their line of business was made despite an analyst asking about observed slowdowns in railway contractors.

Risk Factors

  1. Raw material cost increases are mitigated by Price Variation Clauses (PVC) in government contracts.
  2. Receivable days can be higher in March due to railway funding cycles, but normalize by April.
  3. Potential slowdown in the wagon industry is offset by new 1 lakh wagon orders.
  4. Dilution of existing shareholders for working capital was raised as a concern by an analyst.

Good To Know

  1. The company benefits from a lifetime tax rate of 17.5% (15% tax + 2.5% cess) due to a central government scheme.
  2. INR29 crores was raised via warrants for working capital, specifically for the track section development.
  3. The new plant will handle products up to 1 ton (1000 kg), while the old plant handles products less than 100 kg.
  4. Other income increased significantly due to interest from FDRs (from IPO funds).

Key Drivers

  1. New bogie plant operational soon.
  2. RDSO approvals for many new products.
  3. Diversifying into new railway segments.
  4. Strong demand in wagon industry.

Key Analyst Discussions

Competitive Environment

  1. High entry barriers exist due to lengthy RDSO approval processes and critical safety components.
  2. Few active clients (4-5) per product due to high entry barriers.
  3. Direct competitors are mostly unlisted, allowing the company to maintain strong margins.
  4. The company is debt-free, which helps in cost reduction and competitive advantage.

Market Trends & Consumer Behavior

  1. Demand environment is positive for the next 2-3 years, with a new 1 lakh wagon order coming.
  2. Strong potential is seen in coach and track segments, which are returning to normal growth.
  3. Indian Railways is continuously developing new product lines and criteria, including leasing and maintenance.
  4. Government focus on energy and investment in thermal plants creates new market opportunities.

Financial Highlights

  1. FY27 revenue guidance is INR210-220 crores, maintaining 25% PAT margins.
  2. Raw material cost increases are passed on through Price Variation Clauses (PVC) in contracts.
  3. Receivables are higher in March due to railway funding cycles, but normalize by April.
  4. The company has a lifetime tax benefit, paying 17.5% compared to 25% for other companies.

Product Composition

  1. New bogie manufacturing facility will be operational in June, producing bogies, couplers, and other components.
  2. 15-20 new products are in the RDSO approval pipeline, with varying approval timelines (3-7 months).
  3. Diversifying into track, locomotive, and coach industries, beyond traditional wagon components.
  4. Exploring mining and thermal plant components as new market segments.

Strategic Considerations

  1. INR50 crores from the IPO was used for the bogie manufacturing facility capex.
  2. Future capex for assembly lines (rubber, springs) will be funded through internal accruals.
  3. INR29 crores raised via warrants is for working capital for the track section development.
  4. The company plans to become a complete wagon manufacturing company in three years.