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Poonawalla Fincorp Ltd

| Q3 FY26 Earnings Conference Call

BULLISH SENTIMENT

Report Source

21st Jan 26

Summary : Poonawalla Fincorp reported strong Q3FY26 growth with improved asset quality, driven by new product scaling, AI adoption, and a strategic shift towards a lower-risk, diversified portfolio, maintaining a positive outlook.

Management Perspective positive : "Our AUM... is growing at around 77.6% year-on-year.""New products delivered at 25% quarter-on-quarter disbursement growth, demonstrating a tangible momentum.""GNPA for Q3FY26 stands now at 1.51% versus a 1.59% in Q2FY26. It is a drop of another eight basis points here.""Operating leverage is beginning to come through.""We are very excited from here on."

Concall Report Analysis & Insights

Business Overview

  1. AUM grew 77.6% YoY, 15.3% QoQ to ₹55,017 crores.
  2. Total disbursements grew 84% YoY, 6.5% QoQ in Q3FY26.
  3. Net interest margin (including fees) increased to 8.62% in Q3FY26.
  4. GNPA improved to 1.51% from 1.59% QoQ; Stage-1 assets rose to 97.4%.
  5. Cost of borrowing reduced to 7.65% in Q3FY26 from 8.04% in Q1FY26.
  6. Profit after tax grew 102% QoQ and 702% YoY to ₹150 crores.

Future Growth Prospects

  1. Aim to achieve best-in-class credit costs with a balanced portfolio mix.
  2. New businesses are expected to scale up in different proportions.
  3. Gold, education, personal loans, and LAP to comprise 50-60% of AUM.
  4. Launching a next-gen conversational AI platform for customer service.
  5. Targeting 30-35% NCDs in total borrowings for stable funding.
  6. Overall AUM growth guidance of 35-40% for retail products.

Management Insights

  1. Building a high-quality, stable, low-volatile credit portfolio.
  2. Growth is a means to compound intrinsic value, not an objective.
  3. Focus on sustainable, healthy ROAs through disciplined underwriting.
  4. Operating leverage is structurally embedded, absorbing incremental growth.
  5. AI initiatives amplify strength, reducing manual effort and improving decisioning.
  6. Adopting a credit-first, compliance-first approach with disciplined execution.

Signs of Skepticism

  1. Management's explanation for PCR reduction due to product mix and old STPL rundown.
  2. Vague timeline for the capital raise, despite board approval for 12 months.

Risk Factors

  1. Fluctuations in earnings and ability to manage rapid growth.
  2. Competition and general economic conditions in India and abroad.
  3. Changes in law, rules, and regulations affecting operations.
  4. Challenges in attracting and retaining skilled professionals.
  5. Impact of government policies and actions.

Good To Know

  1. India's real GDP grew 8.2% in Q2 FY2025-26.
  2. CPI inflation softened to 1.33% in December 2025.
  3. Financial conditions remain supportive with robust credit growth.
  4. Board approved ₹5,500 crores cash equity raise, with a 12-month enabling approval.

Key Drivers

  1. Strong AUM growth continues.
  2. New products scaling well.
  3. AI initiatives boost efficiency.
  4. Asset quality improving steadily.

Key Analyst Discussions

Financial Highlights

  1. Analyst questioned the reduction in provision coverage ratio for Stage-1, 2, 3 assets.
  2. Management explained PCR reduction by product mix change and old STPL rundown.
  3. Write-off policy for unsecured products is 180 DPD, vehicle secured is 365 DPD.
  4. Management reiterated AUM growth guidance of 35-40% for retail products.

Product Composition

  1. Analyst inquired about new product disbursement targets in overall AUM mix.
  2. Management stated focus on gold loan branches, with cross-sell benefits.
  3. Gold loan branch expansion strategy prioritizes Western India first.
  4. Consumer durable dealer presence is strong in Tier-II/III cities.
  5. Credit cost reduction is primarily driven by product mix improvement.

Strategic Considerations

  1. Analyst asked about the timeline for the approved capital raise.
  2. Management confirmed a 12-month approval, but no specific timeline for capital raise.
  3. Management discussed balancing short, medium, and long tenure products in the book.
  4. Management expects operating leverage trend to continue, improving cost-to-income ratio.