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Sai Silks (Kalamandir) Ltd

| Q3 FY26 Earnings Conference Call

NEUTRAL SENTIMENT

Report Source

27th Jan 26

Summary : Sai Silks reported mixed Q3 results due to festive calendar shifts but maintained strong 9M growth and aggressive expansion plans, focusing on margin improvement and new market entry.

Management Perspective positive : Management consistently highlighted strong 9-month performance, healthy expansion plans, improved margins, and a robust wedding calendar outlook. They expressed confidence in achieving future growth targets despite Q3 moderation.

Concall Report Analysis & Insights

Business Overview

  1. Q3 FY26 revenue from operations was INR411.25 crores, down from INR448.5 crores year-on-year.
  2. Revenue moderation in Q3 was due to lower footfalls from a festive calendar shift.
  3. For 9 months FY26, revenue grew 16.1% year-on-year to INR1,234 crores.
  4. Gross margin for Q3 improved 40 basis points to 42.2% due to pricing discipline and product mix.
  5. 9-month YTD PAT increased 50% year-on-year to INR108 crores, with an 8.77% PAT margin.

Future Growth Prospects

  1. Targeting 80,000-85,000 square feet store expansion for the next financial year.
  2. Exploring new markets for expansion, including Maharashtra and Kerala.
  3. Healthy pipeline of wedding dates for the next financial year, up 10% from current year.
  4. Aiming for 15-20% top-line growth for FY27, driven by 5% SSG and 15% new store rollout.
  5. EBITDA margin target of 17-18% for the next year, driven by Varamahalakshmi format and product mix.

Management Insights

  1. Underlying demand for ethnic wear remains structurally strong, supported by weddings and cultural occasions.
  2. Company maintains disciplined capital deployment and sustainable growth in retail footprint.
  3. Consciously limited advertisement and business promotion expenditure in Q3 due to festive shift.
  4. Operational leverage is kicking in, leading to healthy margin growth.
  5. Aiming for a positive SSG by end of March, giving confidence for further expansion.

Signs of Skepticism

  1. Analyst noted Q2 and Q3 combined growth rate of 6-7% is relatively weak despite expectations for a strong marriage season.
  2. Analyst questioned the disconnect between aggressive store expansion plans and the lack of meaningful SSSG from overall financials.
  3. Management's optimism for aggressive expansion was questioned given consumer behavior becoming more value-oriented.

Risk Factors

  1. Q3 FY26 experienced moderated demand due to festive calendar shift (Dasara moved to Q2).
  2. Relatively lower footfalls in Q3 FY26 compared to Q3 FY25.
  3. Consumers exhibit a measured and value-conscious purchasing approach.
  4. Menswear and kidswear categories experienced degrowth in Q3.
  5. High rental costs in new markets like Mumbai compared to existing states.

Good To Know

  1. Total retail footprint stood at 7.7 lakh square feet as of December 31, 2025.
  2. Company has not closed a single store to date.
  3. Online business has slightly lower margins (10% lower cost) compared to offline stores.
  4. Company avoids third-party online marketplaces due to high commissions, advertisement costs, and product return issues.
  5. Expansion funding for next year will come from internal generations and Q4 accruals, with no working capital borrowings until H2 FY28.

Key Drivers

  1. Aggressive store expansion plans.
  2. Healthy wedding dates pipeline.
  3. Improved operational leverage.
  4. Entry into new geographies.

Key Analyst Discussions

Competitive Environment

  1. Company's USP and primary focus remains sarees, with plans to add kurtas, kurtis, and lehengas.
  2. Strategy for new territories like Maharashtra is to open 1-2 stores initially to understand consumer behavior.
  3. Sourcing products from over 100 saree weaving clusters across India.
  4. Believes there is a market gap for trusted pan-India ethnic wear players, which they aim to fill.

Market Trends & Consumer Behavior

  1. Q3 demand was largely occasion-driven, with softer demand during non-occasion periods.
  2. Consumers are displaying a measured and value-conscious purchasing approach.
  3. Wedding dates for the next financial year are projected to be 10% higher than the current year.
  4. Festive and wedding calendar shifts significantly impact quarterly performance.
  5. Macroeconomic trends were cited as a reason for demand variability in previous years.

Financial Highlights

  1. Q3 revenue moderation was attributed to festive calendar shifts and lower footfalls.
  2. 9-month PAT increased 50% year-on-year, reflecting improved operational leverage and cost discipline.
  3. Gross margin improved due to pricing discipline and better product mix.
  4. Other expenses declined in Q3 due to reduced advertisement and business promotion expenditure.
  5. Advertisement expenditure goal is to remain under 4-4.5% of sales, targeting under 2.5% for ads alone.

Product Composition

  1. Sarees continue to dominate and show resilient performance.
  2. Menswear and kidswear categories experienced degrowth in Q3, impacting KLM business.
  3. Menswear and kidswear contribution to overall revenue has shrunk from 15% to 12%.
  4. Efforts are underway to change product mix and purchasing style in menswear and kidswear.
  5. Varamahalakshmi stores generally have lesser advertisement compared to other formats.

Strategic Considerations

  1. Targeting 65,000 square feet expansion for current FY, with potential to exceed.
  2. Next year's expansion target is 80,000-85,000 square feet, primarily Varamahalakshmi-led.
  3. Valli format expansion is paused in Q4 to build a more efficient model, aiming for a franchisee model in 12-15 months.
  4. New stores in Tamil Nadu are averaging INR37,000-37,500 per square foot, with potential to reach INR45,000 by FY27.
  5. Funding for expansion and working capital will be met through internal generations, not requiring borrowings until H2 FY28.
Sai Silks (Kalamandir) Ltd (KALAMANDIR) Concall Report Analysis & Insights | Dhanarthi