| Q3 FY26 Earnings Conference Call
Summary : Anup Engineering delivered decent Q3/9M FY26 results, with strong growth prospects from new market entries and a robust inquiry pipeline, though facing working capital challenges and competitive pricing.
Management Perspective positive : Management expressed optimism about future business opportunities, new market entries, and the U.S.-India trade deal. They are confident in their growth strategy and ability to maintain profitability despite challenges.
Concall Report Analysis & Insights
Business Overview
- Q3 FY26 consolidated revenue was INR206.9 crores, up 20.3% quarter-on-quarter.
- EBITDA for Q3 FY26 reached INR44.1 crores, growing 13% quarter-on-quarter.
- 9M FY26 consolidated revenue was INR614.4 crores, up 20.2% year-on-year.
- EBITDA for 9M FY26 was INR135.9 crores, growing 17.5% year-on-year, with PAT at INR85.3 crores.
- Exports constituted 53.4% of revenue; oil & gas and petrochemicals dominate at 73%.
Future Growth Prospects
- Strong inquiry pipeline of INR1,100 crores expected to convert into business.
- Positive India-U.S. trade deal to open new export opportunities.
- Entry into nuclear business with an initial order, aiming for critical equipment.
- Secured thermal power project orders, targeting larger projects.
- Diversification into precision machine components and profitable technical services.
Management Insights
- Company delivered decent performance despite macro challenges.
- Working capital management could have been better, aiming for 3+ turns.
- New order booking is encouraging, especially domestically.
- Kheda plant Phase 2 expansion completed, adding INR450 crores annual capacity.
- Maintaining FY26 revenue growth guidance of 15-20% and EBITDA of 22%.
Signs of Skepticism
- PAT percentage lower year-on-year due to EBITDA, interest, and tax changes.
- Order book decreased to INR550 crores from INR740 crores last year.
- Significant Q4 order inflow (INR400 crores) needed to meet FY27 targets.
- EBITDA margins are expected to be slightly lower due to product mix shift to high-volume, lower-margin items.
- Working capital days are currently high (190-200 days), aiming for 120 days.
Risk Factors
- Geopolitical events and aggression between countries impact business sentiment.
- Higher working capital due to lower customer advances and long-cycle orders.
- Increased other expenses from royalty, labor, and export freight costs.
- Competitive market leads to pricing aggression and margin pressure.
- Uncertainty in order finalization due to past market conditions.
Good To Know
- ROCE is within the expected range of 21.2%.
- Ahmedabad plant contributes 66% of YTD revenue, Kheda 30%, Mabel 4%.
- All facilities in Gujarat are now rooftop solar-powered, reducing carbon footprint.
- Anup Technical Services has booked 10 orders in 6 months, targeting INR200 crores turnover in 3 years.
- Raw material costs are built into fixed-term contracts with 4-6 week PO to raw material placement.
Key Drivers
- U.S.-India trade deal opens export opportunities.
- Strong INR1,100 crore inquiry pipeline.
- Entry into nuclear, thermal power sectors.
- Diversification into high-margin services.
Key Analyst Discussions
Competitive Environment
- No significant Chinese competition due to voluminous products and indigenous materials.
- Make in India policy and transportation costs protect domestic market.
- Increased market aggression due to vacant capacities and lower demand.
- Company is watchful to maintain profitability amidst pricing pressure.
Market Trends & Consumer Behavior
- Domestic market has picked up significantly in recent quarters.
- International market uptick seen in gas-based business.
- Domestic demand primarily from petrochemicals and thermal power.
- Exports expected to revive with U.S. trade deal clarity.
- Overall demand environment is improving after past uncertainties.
Financial Highlights
- Order book decreased to INR550 crores; management expects INR600 crores by year-end.
- Targeting 15-20% revenue growth for FY26, with Q4 run rate exceeding INR220-230 crores.
- EBITDA margins expected to remain 20-22%, influenced by product mix.
- Net interest cost for Q4 is expected to remain at 1-1.1% due to higher working capital.
- Working capital turns targeted at 3-4 by Q1 next year, down from 190-200 days.
Product Composition
- Technical services business targets INR200 crores turnover with 30-40% profitability.
- High-volume products (ACACS, PSA Adsorber vessels) offer scale at 15% EBITDA.
- Nuclear segment focus is on heat exchangers, columns, and vessels.
- Thermal power entry with low-pressure feed water heaters, aiming for high-pressure units.
- Precision machine components for turbine frames offer 2-3 years visibility.
Strategic Considerations
- U.S. trade deal expected to reignite stalled projects and inquiries.
- Company aims for 50% export and 50% domestic business for risk diversification.
- Kheda plant handles larger, long-cycle equipment; Odhav plant for smaller, short-cycle items.
- New sales and marketing head in Dubai to seek leads from Middle East and GCC countries.
- Strategic pivot to high-volume, low-cycle time equipment for faster turnaround.